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2025-08-27

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 54.6% 45.4% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 24.5% 75.5% +6.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Dallas Wings -6 (95-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lacan 32 9-14 2-4 2-3 3 6 4 0 2 22 19 -
A. Morrow 30 4-7 0-0 3-3 11 3 2 0 0 11 20 -
M. Mabrey 30 4-11 2-5 8-9 4 2 1 0 2 18 12 -
T. Charles 27 6-13 0-0 6-6 5 3 0 1 1 18 13 -
B. Hartley 26 2-5 0-2 4-4 3 6 1 0 2 8 11 -
S. Rivers 25 4-9 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 11 2 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 13 2-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
A. Edwards 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Toure 5 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
H. Peters 4 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
L. Allen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Siegrist 34 6-9 0-1 3-5 2 3 0 0 2 15 9 -
A. James 33 9-19 3-7 1-1 5 6 1 0 1 22 14 -
G. Berger 29 2-6 0-1 1-1 7 6 1 0 0 5 13 -
H. Jones 28 6-9 0-1 0-0 6 5 1 0 2 12 13 -
M. Hines-Allen 23 6-12 1-3 5-6 7 0 1 2 2 18 14 -
A. Okonkwo 23 5-10 2-6 2-2 1 2 2 1 1 14 9 -
L. Geiselsoder 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
D. Miller 14 2-4 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
S. Sundell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter