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Connecticut Sun 79
@
New York Liberty 81
2025-08-25

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 17.4% 82.6% - ✓
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 ✓ (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 16.1% 83.9% - ✓
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 7.4% 92.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - ✓

Actual: New York Liberty +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mabrey 36 6-18 4-10 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 16 4 -
B. Hartley 33 1-6 0-3 1-2 4 4 1 0 2 3 4 -
L. Lacan 31 9-15 2-3 2-2 3 3 2 0 4 22 11 -
T. Charles 28 6-12 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 13 6 -
A. Morrow 26 6-11 3-3 3-4 15 0 0 0 1 18 21 -
S. Rivers 18 1-3 1-2 0-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
A. Edwards 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Toure 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ionescu 34 3-7 1-4 4-4 7 9 1 1 4 11 18 -
J. Jones 33 8-10 2-4 0-0 11 6 1 0 1 18 25 -
L. Fiebich 31 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 5 -
K. Burke 30 5-9 3-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 14 8 -
B. Stewart 21 4-12 0-2 11-13 5 0 0 1 2 19 11 -
E. Meesseman 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 10 3 -
M. Johannes 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 2 -2 -
S. Talbot 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
R. Gardner 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter