Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -10 (81-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 33 | 14-22 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 29 | - |
| Jackie Young | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dana Evans | 24 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Nye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 28 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 18 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Olsen | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Dolson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter