Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -10 (81-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | - |
| A. Wilson | 33 | 14-22 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 29 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J. Loyd | 27 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Evans | 24 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| K. Bell | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Smith | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Nye | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Stokes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 28 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| S. Sutton | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| A. Clark | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Austin | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| E. Engstler | 18 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Olsen | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Dolson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter