Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmine Jones | 29 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 26 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Johannes | 24 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 37 | 4-15 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 32 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 25 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Paopao | 24 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Griner | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Kone | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter