Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -5 (90-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Shepard | 40 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 27 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A. Smith | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 38 | 9-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 35 | 9-20 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Timpson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter