Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +22 (83-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 30 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 25 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 25 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Held | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Laksa | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Brown | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 30 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young | 27 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 22 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dana Evans | 19 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Nye | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter