Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 37 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 35 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - |
| C. Williams | 27 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 37 | 5-20 | 2-11 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 31 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| T. Paopao | 30 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter