Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 31 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| S. Sutton | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| A. Clark | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Austin | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Dolson | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Engstler | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Olsen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lacan | 38 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Morrow | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Charles | 22 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Hartley | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| A. Edwards | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
* = starter