Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.1% | 53.9% | +0.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries -7 (91-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 32 | 9-20 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 28 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 18 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Held | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Salaun | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kate Martin | 35 | 5-19 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 29 | - |
| C. Leite | 32 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 23 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 17 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Chen | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter