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2025-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Margin 60.5% 39.5% -2.3 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Valkyries -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rhyne Howard 37 5-10 4-8 0-0 5 6 0 1 2 14 14 -
Allisha Gray 32 3-13 2-10 5-6 3 4 2 0 3 13 6 -
T. Paopao 29 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 10 9 -
Naz Hillmon 26 5-12 0-6 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 12 6 -
Brionna Jones 23 3-6 0-0 7-8 9 2 1 0 2 13 17 -
Maya Caldwell 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 5 9 -
B. Griner 15 4-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
Nia Coffey 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 4 5 -
T. Thierry 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Kone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cecilia Zandalasini 31 3-10 2-5 3-3 4 2 0 0 0 11 7 -
Veronica Burton 31 4-10 1-5 7-7 1 5 2 0 1 16 13 -
J. Salaun 29 2-7 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 5 4 -
Tiffany Hayes 28 1-9 1-5 1-2 0 3 2 0 1 4 -1 -
Kate Martin 21 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
C. Leite 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Laeticia Amihere 14 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 7 11 -
Temi Fagbenle 14 4-9 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 8 2 -
Iliana Rupert 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
Kaila Charles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Chen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter