Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -3 (82-85). Ratings: 2026 ratings to date (they include this game).
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 22 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Mack * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Kathryn Westbeld | 14 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lexi Held | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kitija Laksa | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gabby Williams * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 33 | 10-17 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Skylar Diggins * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 20 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dominique Malonga | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter