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2025-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -
Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Log Adjusted 14.2% 85.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.2% 74.8% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +19 (106-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Siegrist 33 11-15 1-2 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 23 19 -
P. Bueckers 29 8-18 0-2 2-2 5 4 1 0 2 18 8 -
JJ Quinerly 24 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 0 1 4 2 -
L. Geiselsoder 23 3-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 7 4 -
A. James 22 4-14 0-2 1-2 8 4 1 0 2 9 6 -
M. Hines-Allen 21 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 4 0 0 4 9 10 -
H. Jones 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 7 9 -
G. Berger 18 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 6 8 -
D. Miller 11 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gray 32 3-6 1-2 3-3 2 14 1 0 1 10 20 -
A. Wilson 31 11-16 1-1 11-14 8 1 2 3 1 34 31 -
J. Young 29 3-9 2-6 0-0 3 5 2 0 4 8 5 -
K. Bell 28 6-7 6-7 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 18 19 -
J. Loyd 25 4-11 4-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 12 5 -
N. Smith 22 4-8 2-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 0 14 11 -
D. Evans 16 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Nye 10 1-5 0-4 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
K. Stokes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Gustafson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter