Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 38 | 6-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | - |
| K. Plum | 38 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| D. Hamby | 30 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| A. Stevens | 29 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Allemand | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Burrell | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Brink | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 29 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Citron | 27 | 9-16 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Clark | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| L. Olsen | 18 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Austin | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| S. Dolson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Engstler | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Scott | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter