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2025-08-13

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jones 33 4-12 0-4 3-5 7 5 0 2 2 11 11 -
E. Meesseman 32 8-15 2-3 6-6 10 3 1 0 5 24 18 -
N. Cloud 32 3-9 0-3 0-0 5 4 0 1 2 6 5 -
S. Ionescu 31 6-15 3-9 3-3 1 1 1 0 1 18 5 -
L. Fiebich 29 1-1 1-1 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 5 12 -
K. Burke 16 4-8 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
M. Johannes 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
S. Talbot 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Gardner 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gray 39 5-11 1-5 2-2 1 5 2 1 2 13 9 -
A. Wilson 34 3-14 0-1 11-11 16 4 2 2 0 17 27 -
J. Young 34 5-13 1-5 4-5 7 4 2 1 5 15 11 -
J. Loyd 26 7-12 5-9 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 21 11 -
N. Smith 26 1-2 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 1 1 6 11 -
D. Evans 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 8 3 -
A. Nye 11 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 -
K. Bell 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
K. Stokes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter