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2025-08-13

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 67.6% 32.4% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% -
Efficiency 70.2% 29.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Log Adjusted 71.6% 28.4% -
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% -

Actual: Washington Mystics -5 (83-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Burton 36 10-13 6-9 4-6 7 7 1 0 3 30 29 -
C. Zandalasini 35 7-10 6-8 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 20 20 -
T. Hayes 32 3-7 0-1 8-8 6 2 1 0 0 14 16 -
J. Salaun 29 5-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 11 5 -
I. Rupert 25 1-6 0-4 1-1 2 3 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Fagbenle 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
C. Leite 13 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
K. Martin 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Charles 4 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Citron 34 4-13 1-3 6-6 3 3 1 0 1 15 8 -
K. Iriafen 33 5-11 0-0 4-4 10 4 1 0 1 14 17 -
S. Sutton 29 7-11 1-5 0-0 1 7 0 0 1 15 11 -
E. Engstler 24 5-5 3-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 3 13 14 -
J. Melbourne 23 3-5 0-2 4-6 0 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
A. Clark 19 0-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
S. Dolson 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
L. Olsen 13 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
J. Sheldon 9 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -

* = starter