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2025-08-12

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -8 (97-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ionescu 32 4-8 2-4 4-4 3 6 0 0 3 14 12 -
E. Meesseman 32 9-15 0-1 6-7 9 4 0 1 2 24 21 -
N. Cloud 32 5-10 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 11 6 -
J. Jones 31 8-11 4-5 1-4 11 3 0 2 2 21 24 -
L. Fiebich 27 7-10 2-4 4-4 2 4 1 1 0 20 18 -
M. Johannes 23 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 9 9 -
S. Talbot 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Gardner 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stevens 35 7-11 1-3 2-2 4 4 3 0 0 17 17 -
K. Plum 34 8-13 2-5 8-8 5 5 0 0 1 26 22 -
D. Hamby 32 8-15 0-2 5-6 8 3 4 1 2 21 20 -
R. Jackson 31 7-20 2-10 0-1 7 3 0 0 2 16 4 -
J. Allemand 28 0-3 0-3 0-0 5 6 0 0 1 0 7 -
R. Burrell 17 3-7 2-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 9 6 -
J. Vanloo 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Brink 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Barker 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter