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2025-08-11

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.1% 80.9% -
Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lacan 33 2-10 0-5 2-3 0 3 0 0 1 6 -2 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 30 5-5 1-1 1-2 4 2 1 2 1 12 15 -
S. Rivers 29 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 9 10 -
M. Mabrey 25 1-7 0-6 1-1 3 4 0 0 3 3 0 -
A. Morrow 24 5-13 1-3 2-2 14 0 1 0 1 13 14 -
B. Hartley 20 1-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 3 -2 -
A. Edwards 18 2-6 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 2 3 8 6 -
M. Toure 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
H. Peters 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayes 32 6-13 3-6 2-4 5 4 0 0 2 17 11 -
C. Zandalasini 32 6-14 3-8 2-3 4 2 0 0 2 17 7 -
V. Burton 30 0-3 0-1 3-4 6 10 0 1 1 3 16 -
J. Salaun 27 6-10 4-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 16 8 -
T. Fagbenle 21 3-6 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 6 11 -
I. Rupert 18 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
K. Martin 16 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
C. Leite 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Charles 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Chen 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Amihere 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter