Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +8 (94-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 33 | 8-16 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Hartley | 29 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| L. Lacan | 25 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Morrow | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Toure | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 37 | 13-25 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Jackie Young | 32 | 9-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 31 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dana Evans | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Nye | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter