Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 29 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 29 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Austin | 28 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| S. Citron | 28 | 9-12 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | - |
| L. Olsen | 20 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Engstler | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Clark | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolson | 11 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 36 | 10-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| K. McBride | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D. Carrington | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Shepard | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Carleton | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter