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2025-08-07

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 24.4% 75.6% -
Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +11 (102-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 36 6-19 1-4 6-7 7 2 1 2 0 19 12 -
M. Mabrey 36 6-20 5-10 2-2 7 3 0 0 3 19 6 -
B. Hartley 26 6-13 4-8 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 16 5 -
L. Lacan 26 5-9 0-1 0-0 2 7 3 0 1 10 12 -
S. Rivers 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 7 7 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 21 2-3 0-0 4-6 6 1 0 1 2 8 11 -
A. Morrow 20 3-8 0-2 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
M. Toure 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
H. Peters 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Plum 35 6-12 3-7 3-5 1 5 0 0 3 18 9 -
J. Allemand 34 5-7 0-1 0-2 10 11 1 0 1 10 24 -
A. Stevens 32 3-9 1-7 3-3 7 1 1 2 2 10 10 -
R. Jackson 29 6-12 3-5 5-5 1 2 0 0 2 20 9 -
R. Burrell 25 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
D. Hamby 24 8-11 0-0 5-6 5 4 0 0 2 21 17 -
C. Brink 17 3-4 2-2 3-3 5 1 0 2 1 11 14 -
J. Vanloo 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -

* = starter