Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 37 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Gray | 33 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Wilson | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 27 | - |
| J. Loyd | 31 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Nye | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Evans | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Bell | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Stokes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hayes | 30 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Salaun | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Leite | 24 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Charles | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| V. Burton | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| I. Rupert | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Martin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter