Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (82-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 30 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 30 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 2 | - |
| L. Lacan | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Hartley | 21 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Morrow | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Rivers | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Peters | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Toure | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 29 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 29 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 28 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 22 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
* = starter