Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 33 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| A. McDonald | 33 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| N. Howard | 32 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| A. Boston | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 30 | 3-16 | 0-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| L. Hull | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Colson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bibby | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| G. Williams | 32 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 30 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | -1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| E. Magbegor | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Malonga | 21 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Clark | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter