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2025-08-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 26.9% 73.1% +5.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +24 (101-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Leite 33 5-15 0-2 4-4 2 3 1 0 1 14 4 -
K. Martin 25 1-12 0-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 -5 -
I. Rupert 23 5-12 3-8 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 17 13 -
V. Burton 23 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 3 3 0 0 8 7 -
K. Charles 22 5-8 3-4 0-0 6 2 1 1 2 13 13 -
L. Amihere 22 3-6 0-2 8-8 9 3 0 0 1 14 19 -
K. Chen 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 5 1 0 1 3 3 -
T. Fagbenle 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 0 6 -
J. Salaun 16 2-6 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gray 30 4-8 1-4 2-2 5 6 2 0 7 11 9 -
J. Young 30 7-12 3-6 3-3 5 8 2 0 2 20 21 -
A. Wilson 29 6-17 1-4 1-2 14 2 4 1 1 14 17 -
J. Loyd 26 8-13 7-11 4-4 3 1 2 0 2 27 18 -
A. Nye 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 8 9 -
D. Evans 18 3-6 1-2 0-1 1 4 0 0 0 7 6 -
N. Smith 16 1-2 1-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
K. Bell 15 1-7 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 0 -
M. Gustafson 13 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
K. Stokes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter