Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 37 | 14-22 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 36 | 23 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 31 | 8-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 30 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 30 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Emma Meesseman | 17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Johannes | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 34 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 30 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Morrow | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| B. Hartley | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Rivers | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. Lacan | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Toure | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter