Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (52.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -53 (58-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shepard | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| N. Collier | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Carleton | 25 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 23 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| K. McBride | 23 | 8-11 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 23 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Y. Anderson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Kosu | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gustafson | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Evans | 22 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| A. Wilson | 22 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| K. Bell | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Gray | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Nye | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Loyd | 19 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| J. Young | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Smith | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| K. Stokes | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter