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2025-08-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 85.4% 14.6% -
Bradley-Terry 74.3% 25.7% -
Margin 75.3% 24.7% -6.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 66.3% 33.7% -
Efficiency 81.7% 18.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 62.3% 37.7% -

Actual: Dallas Wings -10 (78-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 33 9-19 3-8 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 23 8 -
N. Howard 31 4-9 0-1 3-4 16 5 2 1 2 11 24 -
A. Boston 29 5-11 0-1 2-3 11 5 3 1 5 12 16 -
S. Cunningham 29 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 1 1 6 10 -
A. McDonald 29 4-10 4-6 3-4 4 6 0 0 6 15 9 -
L. Hull 18 3-7 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
S. Colson 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 5 -
D. Dantas 11 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
C. Bibby 6 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
M. Timpson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Bueckers 34 7-14 0-1 8-8 4 4 2 0 1 22 17 -
JJ Quinerly 27 2-7 0-2 2-2 4 3 1 1 1 6 7 -
A. Ogunbowale 26 1-6 0-1 6-6 1 5 2 0 0 8 10 -
H. Jones 23 3-7 0-1 1-1 0 1 0 2 2 7 1 -
L. Geiselsoder 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
M. Hines-Allen 18 4-8 0-1 1-2 5 2 2 0 2 9 8 -
D. Carrington 16 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 5 4 0 -
A. James 16 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 9 7 -
T. McCowan 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 7 -
L. Yueru 8 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -

* = starter