Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✗ (24.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 35 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Johannes | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 34 | 6-19 | 2-10 | 4-4 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tina Charles | 32 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 27 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| L. Lacan | 23 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Morrow | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Hartley | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Rivers | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter