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2025-08-01

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 61.5% 38.5% -
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% -
Margin 82.9% 17.1% -8.7 (24.7 off)
Pythagorean 77.9% 22.1% -
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% -
Log Adjusted 86.6% 13.4% -
Points Off/Def 68.0% 32.0% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +16 (78-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ionescu 35 7-16 2-9 7-7 7 5 2 0 2 23 19 -
J. Jones 33 4-9 1-3 5-6 6 4 0 3 5 14 13 -
L. Fiebich 32 1-8 0-5 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 2 -1 -
N. Cloud 31 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 7 4 -
S. Talbot 22 2-4 1-3 0-0 7 3 2 1 5 5 9 -
M. Johannes 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -3 -
I. Harrison 17 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 3 6 -2 -
R. Gardner 9 1-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 5 5 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mabrey 34 6-19 2-10 4-4 10 8 2 1 6 18 14 -
T. Charles 32 5-15 0-1 5-7 4 3 3 0 3 15 7 -
J. Sheldon 27 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 1 0 2 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 26 6-8 0-0 4-6 4 1 1 3 2 16 15 -
L. Lacan 23 6-8 2-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 16 14 -
A. Morrow 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 4 4 8 -
B. Hartley 20 1-5 1-3 1-3 4 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
S. Rivers 16 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 5 6 -

* = starter