Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -15 (74-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Young | 34 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| A. Wilson | 30 | 16-23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | - |
| J. Loyd | 24 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Bell | 21 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| D. Evans | 19 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Nye | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Plum | 37 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 10-10 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| R. Jackson | 34 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| A. Stevens | 28 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Hamby | 26 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Burrell | 26 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Allemand | 24 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Brink | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Vanloo | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter