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2025-07-28

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 81.7% 18.3% -8.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 76.2% 23.8% -
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Log Adjusted 85.2% 14.8% -
Points Off/Def 66.5% 33.5% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun -16 (85-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Malonga 25 6-12 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 12 6 -
G. Williams 24 7-11 0-2 2-2 2 2 3 0 1 16 11 -
Diggins-Smith 23 4-6 0-1 3-5 12 11 0 2 1 11 29 -
E. Wheeler 21 3-8 2-4 0-0 3 5 1 1 4 8 6 -
N. Ogwumike 19 11-13 4-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 26 19 -
A. Clark 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 4 7 -
L. Brown 19 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 -
E. Magbegor 17 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 3 1 4 0 10 18 -
T. Mitchell 15 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
Z. Cooke 12 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 8 2 -
M. Holmes 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hartley 30 4-12 2-4 7-8 1 4 0 0 1 17 9 -
J. Sheldon 26 4-6 3-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 25 4-8 0-0 2-3 6 2 3 2 0 10 15 -
T. Charles 23 2-5 0-0 7-8 4 2 0 0 0 11 12 -
L. Lacan 22 2-6 1-2 4-4 2 4 2 0 2 9 9 -
A. Morrow 17 3-7 1-3 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
M. Mabrey 17 4-10 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 8 -2 -
S. Rivers 13 2-7 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 -3 -
H. Peters 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Allen 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Toure 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Marshall 5 2-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 5 3 -

* = starter