Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.4% | 23.6% | -6.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -26 (80-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Jackie Young | 31 | 8-11 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 21 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 19 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dana Evans | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Nye | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 31 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 30 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 30 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. James | 20 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Li Yueru | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Grace Berger | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter