Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -15 (78-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston | 35 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 31 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 30 | 12-19 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 25 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Timpson | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Bibby | 11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Banham | 36 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter