Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 25 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 26 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 24 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 24 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 22 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Laksa | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Held | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 34 | 11-21 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 18 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 31 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 31 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 29 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Johannes | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter