Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Young | 32 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| A. Wilson | 30 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Loyd | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| N. Smith | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Nye | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Evans | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| K. Stokes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Bell | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Boston | 35 | 6-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 8-24 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 33 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| N. Howard | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 26 | - |
| A. McDonald | 22 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Hull | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Colson | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Timpson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Dantas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter