Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +14 (98-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 35 | 11-21 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 33 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 30 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 21 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 36 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 34 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 29 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 23 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Johannes | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter