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2025-07-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +14 (98-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 35 11-21 3-9 4-4 2 2 2 0 3 29 11 -
S. Cunningham 33 5-8 5-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 15 10 -
A. McDonald 31 2-8 0-4 1-1 4 6 3 0 4 5 6 -
A. Boston 30 7-13 0-1 1-1 12 6 2 0 5 15 17 -
N. Howard 27 4-8 0-1 5-6 6 0 3 1 4 13 11 -
L. Hull 21 2-10 2-6 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 7 1 -
S. Colson 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
D. Dantas 9 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 36 6-11 0-1 5-5 4 6 3 1 3 17 17 -
L. Fiebich 34 5-7 2-2 5-6 5 2 1 0 1 17 17 -
S. Ionescu 29 5-15 3-6 0-0 5 9 0 2 4 13 10 -
N. Cloud 26 3-5 2-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 3 10 11 -
J. Jones 23 5-13 3-7 5-5 9 2 0 1 2 18 15 -
I. Harrison 17 5-6 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 2 13 12 -
K. Burke 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
M. Johannes 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 4 -
S. Talbot 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -

* = starter