Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 15-25 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Jewell Loyd * | 29 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Aaliyah Nye | 23 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Dana Evans | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers * | 38 | 9-24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 34 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| JJ Quinerly * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Luisa Geiselsöder * | 24 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Li Yueru * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Haley Jones | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Aziaha James | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter