Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.5% | 22.5% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 34 | 15-25 | 0-2 | 7-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 22 | - |
| J. Loyd | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| J. Young | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Gray | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| A. Nye | 23 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| N. Smith | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Evans | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Stokes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 39 | 9-24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 3-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 30 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 24 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| L. Yueru | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| H. Jones | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. James | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. McCowan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter