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2025-07-16

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 60.4% 39.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.9% 57.1% -
Margin 43.3% 56.7% +1.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% -
Points Off/Def 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Boston 29 1-8 0-2 5-6 3 6 1 1 0 7 10 -
A. McDonald 29 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 10 5 -
K. Mitchell 27 5-11 2-5 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 16 7 -
S. Cunningham 26 5-12 2-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 12 2 -
S. Colson 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -4 -
D. Dantas 20 4-12 1-6 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 11 6 -
L. Hull 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 7 2 2 0 2 5 9 -
N. Howard 16 3-8 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
M. Timpson 11 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 8 7 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 30 10-15 0-1 4-4 11 7 1 4 2 24 30 -
S. Ionescu 27 5-14 3-9 2-2 3 9 0 1 1 15 13 -
N. Cloud 26 6-11 2-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 14 10 -
L. Fiebich 25 4-6 1-2 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 10 5 -
N. Sabally 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 3 3 2 8 -
K. Burke 20 2-4 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
I. Harrison 19 3-6 1-2 2-2 2 1 3 1 2 9 8 -
M. Johannes 18 4-5 4-5 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 12 12 -
R. Gardner 8 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
J. Sherrod 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter