Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -37 (49-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Caldwell | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 26 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Paopao | 21 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 20 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Griner | 20 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Thierry | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso | 30 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 22 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 19 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter