Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.5% | 14.5% | -9.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (77-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Boston | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| N. Howard | 31 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| C. Clark | 28 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| L. Hull | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. McDonald | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dantas | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Colson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Timpson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 34 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 18 | - |
| B. Hartley | 29 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Rivers | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 27 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| L. Lacan | 24 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | - |
| A. Morrow | 23 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Allen | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter