Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.3% | 6.7% | -14.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -13 (78-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 36 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 11-11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 25 | - |
| C. Williams | 36 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 31 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Smith | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 16 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Kosu | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese | 37 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 31 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter