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Connecticut Sun 88
@
Los Angeles Sparks 92
2025-07-13

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.4 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.4% 75.6% - ✓
Efficiency 16.6% 83.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 34 3-10 0-1 3-4 7 3 1 0 4 9 6 -
B. Hartley 33 7-17 4-11 7-8 1 6 1 0 1 25 15 -
L. Lacan 31 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 7 7 -
S. Rivers 30 8-11 3-4 1-2 6 1 3 1 2 20 18 -
O. Nelson-Ododa 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 4 -1 -
A. Morrow 22 5-11 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 10 5 -
J. Sheldon 18 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
L. Allen 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Plum 34 8-14 3-7 4-4 1 3 2 0 2 23 13 -
D. Hamby 34 7-13 0-0 3-4 7 4 2 0 2 17 15 -
R. Jackson 32 9-16 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 2 2 19 13 -
J. Allemand 31 1-5 1-3 2-2 4 6 2 0 0 5 12 -
A. Stevens 27 7-17 5-8 2-4 11 1 2 1 4 21 15 -
R. Burrell 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Vanloo 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Feagin 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2 -
S. Barker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter