Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | -1.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 38 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 9-15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 35 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 35 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| B. Griner | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 19 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Paopao | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 37 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 33 | 8-9 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 28 | 3-20 | 0-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -5 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| M. Johannes | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter