Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +19 (102-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 33 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale | 28 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Li Yueru | 26 | 8-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 24 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. James | 22 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Haley Jones | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston | 26 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 26 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 25 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 24 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 16 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5 | - |
| M. Timpson | 14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Turner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter