Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Valkyries | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | +5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Burton | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| K. Thornton | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Hayes | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Salaun | 21 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 18 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| C. Leite | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| K. Martin | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Chen | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Billings | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Amihere | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 33 | 12-16 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 41 | - |
| C. Gray | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 22 | - |
| J. Loyd | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| A. Nye | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Evans | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Smith | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Stokes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter