Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 33 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Jackie Young | 30 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 22 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dana Evans | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Nye | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 9 | 1-9 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 38 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 35 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 27 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Dolson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Olsen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter