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2025-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 95.5% 4.5% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 73.7% 26.3% -5.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Log Adjusted 79.7% 20.3% -
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% -

Actual: Washington Mystics +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Loyd 33 6-13 2-7 6-6 3 1 2 0 2 20 11 -
J. Young 30 5-15 0-2 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 10 5 -
C. Gray 29 6-10 1-2 0-0 7 3 1 3 3 13 14 -
N. Smith 24 2-6 0-0 2-4 4 2 1 1 3 6 5 -
M. Gustafson 22 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 0 -
D. Evans 22 4-7 0-1 3-4 0 2 2 0 2 11 6 -
K. Stokes 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Nye 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
K. Bell 9 1-9 0-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -6 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Citron 38 2-10 0-4 5-5 5 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
B. Sykes 35 7-15 1-3 3-4 2 4 0 0 5 18 4 -
S. Austin 27 7-16 0-0 2-2 8 2 1 1 2 16 10 -
S. Sutton 25 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 5 6 -
K. Iriafen 24 4-4 0-0 4-6 8 2 0 0 4 12 14 -
J. Melbourne 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 4 5 -
A. Edwards 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 6 7 -
S. Dolson 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
L. Olsen 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Engstler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter